ALPHA CONDOR
Discretionary trading framework

Trade the trend. Control the risk. Repeat the process.

Alpha Condor is built around one idea: there is no magic indicator, only a structured process. Align with higher-timeframe direction, wait for pullbacks into meaningful levels, confirm with confluence, and size every trade with discipline.

1–3 trades Focus on select setups instead of constant overtrading.
0.5%–1% risk Keep losses capped and decisions consistent across trades.
3+ confirmations Only act when multiple independent factors align.

The Alpha Condor Framework

This structure turns a discretionary idea into a repeatable operating system. Each step reduces randomness by forcing clear trend alignment, cleaner entries, smaller risk, and measurable review.

1

Trade with the trend

Use daily moving averages to define directional bias before looking for an intraday entry.

  • 20 EMA above 50 EMA = long bias.
  • 20 EMA below 50 EMA = short bias.
  • Do not fight the higher timeframe.
2

Wait for pullbacks

Good entries often appear when price returns to levels that matter to larger participants.

  • Previous day high and low.
  • VWAP.
  • Support and resistance.
  • Major volume nodes.
3

Require confluence

Do not enter from a single signal. Wait until at least three factors agree.

  • VWAP support or resistance.
  • Relative strength versus SPY.
  • Above-average volume.
  • Candle pattern, divergence, or sector strength.
4

Size positions mechanically

Risk should stay fixed per trade so emotion does not change exposure from one setup to the next.

  • Risk 0.5% to 1% of account equity.
  • Define stop before entering.
  • Calculate share size from max loss.
5

Target asymmetry

Protect expectancy by demanding reward that is meaningfully larger than the initial risk.

  • Minimum risk-reward of 1:2.
  • Scale at first target if desired.
  • Let the second target capture extension.
6

Journal everything

The edge becomes real only when performance is tracked over a large sample size.

  • Record setup type, time, and market conditions.
  • Track win rate, average win, average loss, and profit factor.
  • Review after 100 or more trades.

Where the edge comes from

The goal is not prediction for its own sake. The goal is to identify situations where the trend is obvious, risk is small, trapped traders are vulnerable, and your process stays identical whether the last trade won or lost.

1 Clear trend

Start with directional clarity before searching for precision.

2 Trapped traders

Look for areas where weak positioning can fuel the move.

3 Small risk

The stop must be defined and acceptable before the trade exists.

4 Large reward

Demand enough upside so a modest win rate can still produce expectancy.

5 Repeatability

The same process repeated over thousands of decisions is the advantage.

Trading journal discipline

Every serious framework needs feedback. A journal creates the evidence needed to refine entries, validate setups, and separate a real edge from a story that only sounds smart.

Track Setup type, time, conditions
Measure Win rate, average win, average loss
Review 100+ trade sample
Decide Keep, adjust, or cut setups

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